Match Info
Cymru South - Round 9Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday
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Pontardawe Town |
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Treowen Stars |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.65 |
3.65 |
2.10 |
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 |
2.76 |
3.97 |
2.09 |
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 |
2.82 |
3.89 |
2.18 |
 Watch |
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2.70 |
3.90 |
2.06 |
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2.77 |
3.75 |
2.08 |
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2.65 |
3.75 |
2.11 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.59) |
3.82 ↓
(3.91) |
2.1 ↓
(2.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pontardawe Town
33.2% | Draw
23.7% | Treowen Stars
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Pontardawe Town - Treowen Stars Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (5 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Dorward J. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Gameson T. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 1, Dorward J. ⚽,
- 28', 3 - 1, Dorward J. ⚽,
- 37', 4 - 1, Meacock J. ⚽,
- 41', 5 - 1, Barrow J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 6 - 1, Stone J. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 5th).Pontardawe is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Performances by Treowen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Pontardawe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.Recently, Pontardawe has faced a series of away games on the road. In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.Our forecast points to a victory for Treowen in today's match, at odds of 2.23. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
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| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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