Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Caerau Ely		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.3	4.1
	1.63	4.62	3.84
	1.8	4.17	3.65	Watch
	1.6	4.55	3.8
	1.57	4.35	4.26
	1.55	4.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	4.38 ↑ (4.19)	3.96 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
56.3%

Draw
20.7%

Treowen Stars
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

Caerau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Treowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caerau is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Including home match between the teams, Caerau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea	1:5 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	2:4 ✺
01.08.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.03.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:0
27.09.25	Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely	0:5

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