Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Ponte Preta		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.25	2.85	3.6
	2.14	2.75	3.6
	2.11	2.9	3.45
	2.2	3	3.9
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.15	3.16	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.92)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	3.61 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
43.2%

Draw
31.3%

Água Santa
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

22%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Água Santa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ponte Preta - Água Santa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ponte Preta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Água Santa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Água Santa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.22	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.02.22	FC Cascavel - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.22	Guarani - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.22	Água Santa - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Água Santa - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
17.02.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Água Santa - Ituano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.04.16	Ponte Preta - Água Santa	7:2

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