Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Pantoja R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.4	Watch
	1.64	3.6	6.16
	1.61	3.7	5.71	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.61	3.6	5.44	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	3.59 ↑ (3.48)	5.55 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
57.5%

Draw
25.8%

Ponte Preta
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Mirassol - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 33. Alan Empereur 6. Reinaldo (C) 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 11. Negueba 29. Clayson 27. Gabriel 77. Iury Castilho	12. Diogo Silva (G) 28. Pacheco 6. Sergio Raphael 14. Danilo Barcelos 15. Artur 55. Leo Oliveira 18. Emerson Santos (C) 25. Lucas Candido 17. Pedro Vilhena 7. Jean Dias 31. Victor Andrade
Substitutes
10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 14. David Braz 13. Diego Goncalves 50. Gustavo Lacerda (G) 3. Jemmes 21. Jose Aldo 9. Leo Gamalho 7. Matheus Davo 5. Roni 90. Thomazella (G) 2. Wesley Santos	77. Bruno Lopes 26. Concha V. 90. Darnlei 8. Dudu 29. Everton Brito 19. Gustavo Lopes 20. Joao Gabriel 27. Luiz Felipe 2. Maguinho 44. Nilson Junior 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 11. Renato
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Leo Oliveira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Jean Dias ⚽, Leo Oliveira (A),
48', 1 - 1, Emerson Santos (Own goal),
49', Sergio Raphael 🟨,
52', Iury Castilho (Pen),
63', Clayson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
63', Neto Moura ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
67', Leo Oliveira ↓, Maguinho ↑,
67', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Dudu ↑,
69', Gabriel ↓, Roni ↑,
69', Negueba ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
77', Victor Andrade ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
78', Emerson Santos 🟨,
84', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
84', Jean Dias ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
84', Pacheco ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Dudu ⚽, Maguinho (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.25	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Mirassol - Guarani	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.02.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	EC Noroeste - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Água Santa - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Ponte Preta - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.10.24	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	3:0
12.07.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	4:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.23	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	0:3
03.06.23	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.22	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:1
29.04.21	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	1:2

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