Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Ceará

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3	2.08	Watch
	4.06	3.06	2.17
	3.83	3.13	2.07	Watch
	3.7	2.88	2.1
	3.9	2.96	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.66)	3.02 ↑ (3.01)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
24.4%

Draw
30.9%

Ceará
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ponte Preta - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 27. Thalys 33. David Braz 44. Marcio Silva 13. Diego Porfirio 10. Elvis 20. Murilo 6. Saravia Salvia R. A. 31. Bryan Borges 11. Luis Phelipe 9. Willian Pottker (C)	1. Richard (G) 18. Julio Cesar 33. Eder 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 26. Richardson (C) 31. Lucas Lima 2. Ramos R. 8. Matheus Araujo 11. Fernandinho 9. Wendel Silva
Substitutes
26. Baianinho 99. Brandao 77. Bruno Lopes 14. Danilo Barcelos 30. Guilherme Viana (G) 19. Jonathan Cafu 16. Leo Gomes 3. Lucas Cunha 2. Lucas Justen 5. Rodrigo Souza 90. Rodriguinho 38. Tarik	21. Alex Silva 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 30. Gustavo Prado 10. Juan Alano 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 98. Matheusinho 40. Melk 12. Sanchez
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lucas Lima 🟨,
45', Lucas Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Luis Phelipe ⚽,
54', Richardson ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
54', Fernandinho ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
59', Luis Phelipe ↓, Baianinho ↑,
59', Murilo ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
64', Matheus Araujo 🟨,
65', David Braz 🟨,
66', Matheus Araujo ↓, Giulio ↑,
66', Wendel Silva ↓, Sanchez ↑,
69', Thalys ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
71', Bryan Borges 🟨,
74', Elvis ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
74', Diego Porfirio ↓, Danilo Barcelos ↑,
75', Fernando ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Sanchez ⚽, Giulio (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.

Ponte Preta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ceará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ceará will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ceará: Diego (Inactive) Pedro Henrique (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Athletic Club - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Ponte Preta - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Retrô Brasil - Ceará	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Ceará - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.10.24	Ceará - Ponte Preta	1:0
25.06.24	Ponte Preta - Ceará	3:1
20.08.23	Ceará - Ponte Preta	1:1
07.05.23	Ponte Preta - Ceará	0:0
27.09.14	Ponte Preta - Ceará	3:1
23.05.14	Ceará - Ponte Preta	3:2

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