Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vila Nova		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.30	4.75	10.00	Watch
	1.34	4.60	8.00
	1.38	4.50	8.00	Watch
	1.33	4.98	11.00
	1.36	4.52	9.12	Watch
	1.34	4.65	10.00
	1.32	4.70	9.70	Watch
	1.33	4.60	9.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	4.66 ↑ (4.6)	9.35 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
69.9%

Draw
20.1%

Ponte Preta
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

14%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Vila Nova - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vila Nova (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 23. Breno Augusto 6. Higor 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 7. Andre Luis 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 49. Dellatorre	30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 3. Lucas Cunha 44. Gustavo Almeida 2. Julio 16. Leo Gomes 8. Andre Lima 7. Baianinho 18. David da Hora 10. Elvis (C) 21. Brandao
Substitutes
33. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 31. Dodo 18. Enzo Bizzotto 17. Everton Galdino 9. Gustavo Puskas 21. Higor Meritao 16. Igor Carius 20. Nathan Camargo 11. Ryan 13. Willian Formiga 8. Willian Maranhao	15. Cicala G. 4. Diego M. L. 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 35. Gustavo Telles 9. Joao Damiao 6. Juan Rodrigues 17. Miguel Morais 13. Souza M. 32. Vinicius C.
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
13', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
19', Elvis ↓, Juan Rodrigues ↑,
40', 3 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽, Higor (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Dellatorre ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
46', Higor ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
46', Baianinho ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
64', 4 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Janderson (A),
66', 5 - 0, Everton Galdino ⚽, Janderson (A),
66', Andre Luis ↓, Ryan ↑,
66', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
72', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
72', Leo Gomes ↓, Diego M. L. ↑,
72', David da Hora ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
73', Juan Rodrigues 🟨,
79', Palacios S. 🟨,
80', 6 - 0, Willian Formiga ⚽, Dodo (A),
84', Brandao ↓, Joao Damiao ↑,
90+4', Miguel Morais 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.

Vila Nova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponte Preta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vila Nova is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Diego Porfirio (Injury) Jonathan Cafu (Inactive) Kevyson (Knee Injury) Murilo (Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Douglas Mendes (Inactive) Rafa Silva (Knee Injury) Ryan (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos (Muscle Injury) Thalys (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vila Nova - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Criciúma - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
14.08.26	Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Ceará - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Ponte Preta - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Ponte Preta - Goiás	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1
11.11.24	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	2:1
23.07.24	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	2:0
15.09.23	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1
28.05.23	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	1:0
08.10.22	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	1:1
28.06.22	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1

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