Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 1

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV
Portugal	Canal 11
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
World	Fanatiz


	Palmeiras		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	11	Watch
	1.34	5.25	9.5
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.32	4.79	9.82	Watch
	1.3	4.75	9.5
	1.28	5.05	9.7
	1.3	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.53)	4.94 ↑ (3.91)	9.93 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
71.6%

Draw
18.9%

Portuguesa
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Palmeiras - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha (C) 34. Naves 26. Murilo 6. Vanderlan 18. Mauricio 27. Rios R. 20. Romulo 41. Estevao 39. Thalys 35. Fabinho	1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Alex Silva 3. Gustavo Henrique 4. Alex Nascimento 6. Lucas Hipolito 8. Hudson 5. Fernando Henrique 10. Cristiano 19. Maceio 9. Henrique Almeida 11. Daniel Junior
Substitutes
40. Allan 28. Atuesta E. 43. Benedetti 38. Figueiredo 4. Giay A. 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 33. Michel	18. Barba 22. Bruno (G) 13. Eduardo Biazus 7. Everton 23. Gustavo Talles 17. Iago Dias 14. Mauricio 16. Pedro Testa 20. Portuga G. 21. Renan 24. Santos D. 15. Taua
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Cauan Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Vanderlan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Lucas Hipolito 🟨,
57', Henrique Almeida ↓, Renan ↑,
63', Hudson 🟨,
67', Naves ↓, Benedetti ↑,
68', Cristiano ↓, Iago Dias ↑,
68', Hudson ↓, Taua ↑,
68', Lucas Hipolito ↓, Pedro Testa ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Marcos Rocha (A),
76', Romulo 🟨,
77', Romulo ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
78', Mauricio ↓, Allan ↑,
79', Daniel Junior ↓, Portuga G. ↑,
82', Vanderlan ↓, Giay A. ↑,
82', Thalys ↓, Luighi ↑,
90+4', Fernando Henrique 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Palmeiras is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Palmeiras is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.96%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Palmeiras - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
20.11.24	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.09.24	Votuporanguense - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Portuguesa - Votuporanguense	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Piracicaba - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Portuguesa - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Portuguesa - São Bento	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.24	Portuguesa - Palmeiras	0:2
06.03.14	Palmeiras - Portuguesa	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.12	Portuguesa - Palmeiras	3:0
19.05.12	Palmeiras - Portuguesa	1:1

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