Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Ponte Preta U20		Portuguesa SP U20

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.50	1.78
	3.65	3.35	1.82
	3.9	3.7	1.75
	3.85	3.61	1.8	Watch
	3.85	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.9)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	1.77 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
23.9%

Draw
25.5%

Portuguesa SP U20
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta U20's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa SP U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa SP U20 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa SP U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponte Preta U20 - Portuguesa SP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, ⚽,
77', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

Ponte Preta U20 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Portuguesa SP U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Portuguesa SP U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Portuguesa SP U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ponte Preta U20 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Itapirense U20	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mirassol U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20	5:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLL
- Portuguesa SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Sertãozinho U20	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	America SP U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Mirassol U20	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	São Bento U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - CA Juventus U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
31.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1

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