Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Grosseto		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.3	3.15	1.75
	4.2	3.4	1.73
	4.97	3.3	1.74
	4.33	3.2	1.85
	4.65	3.32	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.76)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	1.78 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
20.8%

Draw
28.1%

Reggiana
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reggiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grosseto - Reggiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Grosseto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggiana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Reggiana is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Grosseto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.21	Viterbese - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Grosseto - Cesena	0:1 ✺
28.09.21	Fermana - Grosseto	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Grosseto - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.21	Reggiana - Olbia	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Pescara - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
28.09.21	Reggiana - Carrarese	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Siena - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Pistoiese - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.15	Reggiana - Grosseto	1:0
13.09.14	Grosseto - Reggiana	0:0

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