Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colaninno F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Grosseto		Reggiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.25
	2.8	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.91	3.45	2.37
	2.84	3.3	2.32	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.3
	2.8	3.52	2.34	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
32.6%

Draw
27.5%

Reggiana
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.6%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Grosseto - Reggiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Marcu A. (G) 91. Pitti E. 27. Brenna D. (C) 23. Ampollini F. 47. Mannelli M. 8. Damiani M. 29. Andreoli L. 11. Fiorini P. 70. Fabri F. 28. Gaddini M. 9. Gori L.	1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. 14. Quaranta D. 43. Bonetti S. 7. Rover M. 11. Cavion M. 8. Jonsson K. 90. Portanova M. (C) 17. Libutti L. 25. Sipos L. 80. Girma N.
Substitutes
24. Alfani L. 20. Bellini F. 1. Cabella M. (G) 6. Cerretelli F. 32. Ciraudo A. 99. Della Mora T. 25. Fantacci T. 16. Fiorani M. 17. Gallucci R. 21. Gonnelli L. 79. Hasani A. 77. Lorenzelli E. 10. Mastroianni F. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 19. Montini A.	19. Basili D. 12. Borriello F. (G) 32. Cavaliere E. 6. Crisetig L. 9. Henry T. 98. Lepri T. 55. Pasquoto Lucas 22. Sorzi M. (G) 47. Tessitori M. 21. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Indiani P.	Tesser A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Fiorini P. ⚽, Damiani M. (A),
44', Portanova M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Girma N. ↓, Cavaliere E. ↑,
63', Cavion M. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
68', Andreoli L. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
71', Libutti L. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Gori L. ⚽, Fabri F. (A),
78', Fabri F. ↓, Cerretelli F. ↑,
79', Mannelli M. ↓, Montini A. ↑,
79', Fiorini P. ↓, Ciraudo A. ↑,
83', Sipos L. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
84', Portanova M. ↓, Pasquoto Lucas ↑,
86', Damiani M. 🟨,
90', Damiani M. ↓, Alfani L. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Grosseto has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Reggiana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grosseto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Grosseto has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grosseto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	11	6	4	1	23:13	10	22
6	Reggiana	11	5	2	4	14:11	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.26	Livorno - Grosseto	4:4 ✺
10.10.26	Vis Pesaro - Grosseto	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Pineto - Grosseto	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
20.10.26	Pineto - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Reggiana - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Reggiana - Spezia	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Perugia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Reggiana - Latina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.02.22	Reggiana - Grosseto	3:1
16.10.21	Grosseto - Reggiana	0:0
24.01.15	Reggiana - Grosseto	1:0
13.09.14	Grosseto - Reggiana	0:0

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