Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Padova		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.37	4.4	8.2
	1.36	4.34	9.22
	1.4	4.18	9.04	Watch
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.35	4.3	7.9	Watch
	1.37	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.32 ↑ (4.29)	8.29 ↑ (7.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
67.6%

Draw
21.3%

Lumezzane
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.5%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - Lumezzane Predictions

Users Predictions: Padova will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 29. Broh J. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 30. Favale G. 21. Liguori M. 11. Cretella C. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Filigheddu S. (G) 2. Deratti J. 6. Pogliano C. 21. Dalmazzi A. 25. Pagliari M. 16. Tenkorang J. 5. Taugourdeau A. 7. Moscati M. 31. Ferro M. 45. Monachello G. 32. Iori M.
Substitutes
33. Bensi N. (G) 15. Bianchi N. 13. Crescenzi L. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 10. Russini S. 9. Spagnoli A. 73. Targa A. 7. Varas K. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)	22. Carnelos M. (G) 11. Corti N. 8. Lipari M. 77. Pannitteri O. 15. Papetti F. 66. Regazzetti S. 28. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Taugourdeau A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Capelli A. ⚽,
30', Faedo C. 🟨,
32', Pogliano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Broh J. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
61', Cretella C. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
67', Monachello G. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
71', Ferro M. ↓, Pannitteri O. ↑,
71', Moscati M. ↓, Scanzi M. ↑,
72', Bianchi N. 🟨,
81', Deratti J. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
81', Tenkorang J. ↓, Lipari M. ↑,
81', Liguori M. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
82', Favale G. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
86', Capelli A. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Spagnoli A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 2.

Padova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lumezzane is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Padova have a series of home games.

In this match Padova is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Padova won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
04.12.24	Padova - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Padova - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Lecco - Padova	0:3 ✺
11.11.24	Padova - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWW
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.24	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Novara - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lumezzane - FeralpiSalò	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Caldiero Terme - Lumezzane	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.24	Lumezzane - Padova	1:1
03.12.23	Padova - Lumezzane	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.11.23	Padova - Lumezzane	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
07.05.17	Padova - Lumezzane	2:0
18.12.16	Lumezzane - Padova	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.16	Lumezzane - Padova	0:2
19.09.15	Padova - Lumezzane	1:0

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