Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pontedera		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.8
	1.72	3.1	4.75
	1.78	2.95	4.5
	1.84	3	4.2
	1.85	3.11	4.94
	1.85	3.2	4.4
	1.82	3.28	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.6)	3.2 ↓ (3.66)	4.57 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
51.4%

Draw
28.6%

Pergolettese
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontedera's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontedera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Pontedera - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

Pontedera is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

Recent matches Pontedera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontedera is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.21	Pontedera - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
25.04.21	AlbinoLeffe - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Pontedera - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
27.03.21	Como - Pontedera	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTTL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.21	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Alessandria - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Pergolettese - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
07.04.21	Renate - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Novara - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.21	Pergolettese - Pontedera	2:0
01.12.19	Pontedera - Pergolettese	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	✺

Pontedera - Pergolettese