Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Arezzo		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.8	5.9
	1.56	3.72	6.41
	1.45	4.06	7.03	Watch
	1.49	3.58	6.63	Watch
	1.55	3.6	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.75 ↓ (4.06)	6.46 ↓ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
61.1%

Draw
24.6%

Sambenedettese
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.8%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arezzo - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 11. Varela Djamanca M. 21. Tavernelli C.	22. Cultraro G. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 4. Zini A. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 37. Toure M. 18. Candellori K. 47. Konate A. 10. Sbaffo A. 7. Marranzino P. 9. Eusepi U.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 27. Sussi S. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G)	24. Alfieri V. 11. Battista N. 5. Chelli M. 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 90. Scafetta F. 23. Toure N. 19. Vesprini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Toure M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Tosi F. 🟨,
54', Chierico L. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
56', Tosi F. 🟨,
60', Cultraro G. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Pattarello E. ⚽,
62', Eusepi U. ↓, Alfieri V. ↑,
70', Tavernelli C. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
73', Marranzino P. ↓, Toure N. ↑,
73', Iaccarino G. 🟨,
77', Sbaffo A. 🟨,
85', Guccione F. ↓, Tito F. ↑,
86', Pattarello E. ↓, Perrotta F. ↑,
88', Sbaffo A. ↓, Iaiunese C. ↑,
88', Konate A. ↓, Battista N. ↑,
90+1', Perrotta F. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 12).

Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sambenedettese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sambenedettese has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arezzo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Arezzo - Latina	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Arezzo - Bra	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Perugia - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arezzo - Campobasso	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Sambenedettese - Brescia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Sambenedettese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.03.21	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	1:0
02.12.20	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	2:3

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