The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 34.5%
Draw 32.8%
Barakaldo 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
30.1%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
29%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unionistas de Salamanca's form might have worsened.
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unionistas de Salamanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 3. Gorjon A. 16. Murria V. 19. Prada R. 11. Gomez A. 22. Lendinez J. 6. Juanje 9. Serpeta 21. Marco P. 23. Pinan A.
13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 15. Castillo I. 8. Huidobro J. 21. Pena A. 20. Mandiang S. 19. Galarza A. 17. de Leon J.
Substitutes
12. Artola J. 7. Arvelo A. 15. Chibozo A. 18. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. 20. Encuentra J. 8. Lopez J. 24. Masllorens J. 4. Mayor R. 14. Saidi A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 11. Perez E. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', de Leon J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Pena A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Serpeta ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Dufur U. ⚽,
55', Pena A. 🟨,
58', Marco P. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
58', Pinan A. ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
58', Lendinez J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
66', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
66', Pena A. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
66', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Pedernales I. ⚽,
77', Huidobro J. 🟨,
81', Prada R. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Unionistas
6
2
0
4
9:12
-3
6
16
Barakaldo
6
1
3
2
6:9
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Barakaldo - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.06%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Carrasco S. (G) 
de Leon J. 
Chibozo A. 
Saidi A. 
