Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)


	Pontevedra		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.55	2.75	2.85
	2.62	2.95	2.97
	2.6	2.7	2.88
	2.52	2.89	2.85
	2.55	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.16)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.87 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
35.8%

Draw
32.5%

Fuenlabrada
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontevedra's form might have worsened.

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Pontevedra - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pontevedra will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pontevedra: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Manresa - Pontevedra	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pontevedra - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leonesa - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Coria - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	San Fernando - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Fuenlabrada - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
15.10.22	Fuenlabrada - Badajoz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.02.19	Pontevedra - Fuenlabrada	3:0
07.10.18	Fuenlabrada - Pontevedra	0:2
04.02.18	Pontevedra - Fuenlabrada	3:1
16.09.17	Fuenlabrada - Pontevedra	2:0

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