Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)


	Pontevedra		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.88	3	4.5
	1.88	3.2	3.8
	1.93	3.17	4.34
	1.89	3.16	4.05
	1.92	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)	4.03 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
48.5%

Draw
28.9%

San Fernando
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

32.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

33.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Pontevedra - San Fernando Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pontevedra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Pontevedra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Fernando is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontevedra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.10.22	Leonesa - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Linares Deportivo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Mérida AD - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Pontevedra - Linense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	San Fernando - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	San Fernando - Linense	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo A Coruña - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWWT

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