The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 41%
Draw 29.9%
Pontevedra 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
31.4%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Pontevedra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 2. Jimenez D. 15. Martinez J. 3. Valdepenas V. 5. Serrano M. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 8. Angel M. (C) 28. Martin R. 33. Castrelo G. 9. Zuniga L. 10. Palacios C.
13. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Garay B. 23. Montoro A. 4. Bosch M. 2. Eimil V. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Pino Y. (C) 8. Abelenda B. 6. Ribeiro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 11. Cuesta M.
Substitutes
35. Bailon J. 26. Duran P. 23. Fati L. 20. Fortuny P. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 34. Lezcano A. 30. Mesonero D. 25. Mestre S. (G) 4. Rivas M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 7. Yanez D.
22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 5. Conesa N. 20. Denia M. 3. Exposito A. 30. Gil R. 7. Gonzalez A. 17. Macias L. 9. Selma D. 1. Sousa E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽,
34', Eimil V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
51', Cuesta M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
51', Vidorreta A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
55', Castrelo G. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
59', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
82', Garay B. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
Real Madrid Castilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pontevedra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Real Madrid Castilla could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.03%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 
Zuniga L. 
Garay B. 
Macias L. 
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