Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)


	Unionistas de Salamanca		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.82	3.35	3.8
	1.84	3.53	4.32
	1.79	3.35	4.25
	1.86	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.22)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)	4.02 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
50.2%

Draw
27.1%

San Fernando
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

33.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Unionistas de Salamanca - San Fernando Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Unionistas will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). San Fernando will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unionistas: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Unionistas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.10.22	Algeciras - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Mérida AD - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTTL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.22	San Fernando - Linense	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo A Coruña - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Alcorcón - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTLL

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