Match Info

Cymru South - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)


	Pontypridd United		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.7	6.4
	1.39	5.03	6.7	Watch
	1.4	4.92	6.56
	1.37	4.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.67)	4.84 ↑ (4)	6.52 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
66.8%

Draw
19.1%

Goytre United
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontypridd United's performance.

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goytre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontypridd United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goytre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontypridd United - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
74', Batcup I. 🟥,
81', 3 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Pontypridd is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.25	Taffs Well AFC - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.25	Goytre United - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Caerau Ely - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Goytre United - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Goytre United - Llanelli	2:4 ✺
21.02.25	Trefelin - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
16.08.24	Goytre United - Pontypridd United	3:3
18.12.21	Pontypridd United - Goytre United	1:3
30.10.21	Goytre United - Pontypridd United	0:1

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