Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.99	5.69	Watch
	1.37	4.9	6.04
	1.42	4.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)	4.88 ↑ (4.1)	5.71 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
65.1%

Draw
18.8%

Goytre United
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Caerau Ely - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Ashford J. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, Harrris C. (Pen),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Goytre United have a series of home games.

In this match Caerau is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caerau won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Caerau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
07.03.25	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.25	Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.02.25	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
08.03.25	Goytre United - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Goytre United - Llanelli	2:4 ✺
21.02.25	Trefelin - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Goytre United - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Goytre United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	0:2
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	3:2
Welsh Cymru South
09.04.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	6:2
08.09.23	Caerau Ely - Goytre United	3:0
15.11.19	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	4:0

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