Match Info

Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Afan Lido		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.85	1.8
	3.35	3.99	1.86
	3.02	3.81	2.07	Watch
	3.42	3.76	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.06)	3.85 ↑ (3.75)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
27.8%

Draw
23.8%

Pontypridd United
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

23.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Afan Lido - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Edwards E. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, McCreesh L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, McCreesh L. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Jones J. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pontypridd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pontypridd will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
07.11.25	Ammanford - Afan Lido	6:0 ✺
31.10.25	Afan Lido - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
24.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Trefelin - Afan Lido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLTT
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
07.11.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	7:0 ✺
01.11.25	Trefelin - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cefn Cribwr	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.03.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:0
26.07.24	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	3:2
Welsh League Cup
20.09.22	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:0
Welsh Cymru South
03.12.21	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	8:1
19.11.21	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	3:2
26.11.19	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	1:1

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