Match Info

Cymru South - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.57
	4.76	4.13	1.63	Watch
	4.86	3.92	1.57
	4.6	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (5.6)	4.06 ↑ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
19.5%

Draw
22.6%

Pontypridd United
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.7%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

21.8%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontypridd United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taffs Well AFC - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Lewis K. ⚽,
3', 0 - 2, Griffiths D. ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, Lewis K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Ferreira G. ⚽,
44', Perry R. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Pontypridd is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:21 (average 1.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
22.03.25	Baglan Dragons - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Taffs Well AFC - Newport City	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	3:7 ✺
15.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLT
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.25	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Pontypridd United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.12.24	Pontypridd United - Taffs Well AFC	3:0
04.03.22	Taffs Well AFC - Pontypridd United	1:3
27.07.21	Pontypridd United - Taffs Well AFC	4:3
17.01.20	Pontypridd United - Taffs Well AFC	6:0
20.09.19	Taffs Well AFC - Pontypridd United	5:2
Welsh League Cup
29.08.17	Pontypridd United - Taffs Well AFC	3:0

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