Match Info

Cymru South - Round 20

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.85	1.36
	4.62	6.06	1.42
	7.27	4.65	1.39	Watch
	5.75	5	1.33
	6.68	5.55	1.3
	5.33	3.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (4.33)	4.99 ↑ (4.2)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
15.3%

Draw
18.2%

Pontypridd United
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

21.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cwmbran Celtic's form might have worsened.

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontypridd United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontypridd (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Pontypridd (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontypridd (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
14', 0 - 1, Hutson C. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Tedstone G. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Tedstone G. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 4, Edwards E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 0 - 5, Veale J. ⚽,
68', 1 - 5, Fletcher E. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 5, Berry O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 1.

Cwmbran Celtic is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pontypridd has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pontypridd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pontypridd is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ynyshir Albions	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
07.11.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	7:0
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:1
11.10.24	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0
02.10.21	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	1:2
24.08.21	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0
Welsh League Cup
12.12.20	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0

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