Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.8
	1.55	4.58	4.77
	1.56	4.42	5.01
	1.5	4.15	5.22
	1.55	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.27 ↑ (4)	4.92 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
59.7%

Draw
21.6%

Winchester City
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Gloucester City - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pinchard H. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Phillips K. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Smalley B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Wilkie A. (Own goal),
90+3', 5 - 0, Grubb D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Gloucester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Winchester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Winchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gloucester have a series of guest games.

In this match Gloucester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
12.02.25	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Basingstoke Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Gloucester City - Totton	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Bracknell Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Frome Town - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTWT
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
08.02.25	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Winchester City - Gloucester City	2:4

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