The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cremonese 66%
Draw 19.9%
Ternana 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.1%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
21.7%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Cremonese - Ternana Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Saro G. (G) 44. Lochoshvili L. 18. Ghiglione P. 5. Ravanelli L. 17. Sernicola L. 37. Majer Z. 8. Collocolo M. 7. Falletti C. 71. Johnsen D. 74. Tsadjout F. 20. Vazquez F.
18. Vitali T. (G) 19. Capuano M. 6. Dalle Mura C. 79. Carboni F. 44. Lucchesi L. 71. Luperini G. 15. Casasola T. 66. Pyyhtia N. 72. Amatucci L. 10. Pereiro G. 17. Favilli A.
Substitutes
32. Abrego G. 11. Afena-Gyan F. 10. Buonaiuto C. 19. Castagnetti M. 9. Ciofani D. 90. Coda M. 97. Livieri A. (G) 4. Marrone L. 6. Pickel C. 33. Quagliata G. 98. Zanimacchia L.
5. Boloca G. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 27. Favasuli C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 76. Novelli F. (G) 9. Raimondo A. 24. Viviani F. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Stroppa G.
Breda R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Tsadjout F. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Favilli A. ⚽, Pereiro G. (A),
34', Collocolo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
46', Johnsen D. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
46', Falletti C. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
46', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
58', Pereiro G. 🟨,
64', Favilli A. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
64', Carboni F. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
64', Pyyhtia N. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
64', Collocolo M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
74', Pereiro G. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
80', Casasola T. 🟨,
81', Luperini G. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
81', Majer Z. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Di Stefano F. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 4.
Recent matches Cremonese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ternana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cremonese is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.