Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Ascoli		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5.25
	1.67	3.45	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.73	3.62	5.67
	1.8	3.25	4.75
	1.74	3.6	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	5.15 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
54.7%

Draw
27.1%

Pordenone
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ascoli - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 8 (29.7%), has project points - 58, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (60%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (90.52%), has project points - 20, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 23, very small importance 7, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pordenone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
16.03.22	Ascoli - Pisa	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	SPAL - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Lecce - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.03.22	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1 ✺
16.03.22	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Pordenone - Como	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Pordenone - Pisa	0:1 ✺
01.03.22	Ternana - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.11.21	Pordenone - Ascoli	0:1
27.02.21	Pordenone - Ascoli	1:1
31.10.20	Ascoli - Pordenone	0:1
24.07.20	Ascoli - Pordenone	2:2
22.12.19	Pordenone - Ascoli	2:1

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