Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Reggina		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.15	3	3.7
	2.29	3.03	3.84
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.24	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
43.1%

Draw
30.6%

Pisa
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Reggina - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 3 (16.69%), has project points - 59, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (71%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Pisa has the most likely position - 7 (10.02%), has project points - 54, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, importance 37, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Reggio Calabria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Reggina - Ternana	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Reggina - SPAL	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Ascoli - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
04.02.23	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Genoa - Pisa	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Como - Pisa	2:2 ✺
14.01.23	Pisa - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	SPAL - Pisa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.09.22	Pisa - Reggina	0:1
27.02.22	Reggina - Pisa	1:0
02.10.21	Pisa - Reggina	2:0
06.03.21	Pisa - Reggina	0:0
22.11.20	Reggina - Pisa	1:2

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