The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pisa 54.4%
Draw 27.1%
Crotone 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
29.1%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
23.3%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pisa's performance.
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72%
16%
12%
Pisa - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Crotone will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 59.6% โ 84.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Pisa has the most likely position - 6 (14.11%), has project points - 63, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (44.56%), has project points - 28, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, importance32, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Pisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crotone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pisa is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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