Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.9	2.87	2.6
	2.9	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.98	2.89	2.9
	2.89	2.89	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.88
	2.88	2.94	2.72	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.46)	2.88 ↓ (3.08)	2.75 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
32.9%

Draw
32.7%

Reggiana
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	46.2%	0%

Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (C) 23. Venturi M. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 5. Gargiulo M. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 7. Garritano L. 19. Ciervo R. 9. Artistico G. 10. Fumagalli T.	22. Bardi F. (C) 31. Sampirisi M. 13. Meroni A. 3. Sosa J. 17. Libutti L. 5. Sersanti A. 16. Reinhart T. 25. Ignacchiti L. 7. Marras M. 10. Vido L. 90. Portanova M.
Substitutes
6. Charlys 2. Cimino B. 18. Cruz J. M. 11. D'Orazio T. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 30. Mazzocchi S. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 29. Sgarbi F. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	8. Cigarini L. 15. Fiamozzi R. 80. Girma N. 77. Kabashi E. 55. Kumi J. 44. Lucchesi L. 27. Maggio M. 87. Nahounou Y. 23. Pettinari S. 99. Sposito A. (G) 29. Urso O. 30. Vergara A.
Coaches
Tortelli P.	Viali W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Gargiulo M. (A),
41', Artistico G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reinhart T. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
51', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
62', Marras M. ↓, Vergara A. ↑,
62', Portanova M. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
63', Ciervo R. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
69', Fumagalli T. ↓, Charlys ↑,
69', Garritano L. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
70', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
71', Sosa J. 🟨,
73', Libutti L. ↓, Cigarini L. ↑,
81', Artistico G. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
81', Ricciardi M. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
81', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
88', Cruz J. M. 🟨,
89', Sersanti A. 🟨,
90', Kouan C. 🟨,
90+5', Sampirisi M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cosenza: Charlys (Yellow Cards) Florenzi A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Gondo C. (Yellow Cards) Motta E. (Broken Hand) Rozzio P. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Reggiana - Cesena	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1
19.04.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:4
11.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	2:0
20.03.21	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
12.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	0:1

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