Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Pordenone		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.8	3.25
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.66	2.95	3.2
	2.55	2.88	3.1
	2.56	2.96	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.72)	2.91 ↓ (3.03)	3.13 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
37.3%

Draw
32.4%

Salernitana
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

22.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	44.1%	29.4%

Pordenone - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Salernitana will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 44.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Pordenone has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Salernitana has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (78%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.21	Reggiana - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Pordenone - Pisa	2:2 ✺
17.04.21	Pordenone - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
10.04.21	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Pordenone - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.05.21	Salernitana - Monza	1:3 ✺
17.04.21	Salernitana - Venezia	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Virtus Entella - Salernitana	0:3 ✺
05.04.21	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
02.04.21	Lecce - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Salernitana - Pordenone	0:2
27.07.20	Pordenone - Salernitana	1:1
26.12.19	Salernitana - Pordenone	4:0

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