The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 19.1%
Draw 27.7%
Frosinone 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
30.3%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
29.8%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pordenone's form might have worsened.
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frosinone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pordenone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frosinone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pordenone - Frosinone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (94.08%), has project points - 20, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Frosinone has the most likely position - 7 (31.77%), has project points - 60, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (84%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality24, small importance14, small match rating19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0.
Pordenone is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Frosinone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Frosinone is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.