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Current Win Probability
Salernitana 49.3%
Draw 26.8%
Venezia 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29.5%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
31.1%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salernitana's performance.
Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salernitana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.7%
7.5%
12.8%
Salernitana - Venezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
227 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 181 - 79.7%). Venezia will win (votes: 29 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 7.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 74.5% โ 84.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Salernitana has the most likely position - 18 (36.23%), has project points - 30, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Venezia has the most likely position - 20 (66.78%), has project points - 26, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality45, small importance30, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0.
Venezia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Salernitana will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.
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