The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 35.3%
Draw 31.6%
Stevenage Borough 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
27.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
26.9%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
21.1%
42.1%
Port Vale - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Stevenage (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. (C) 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 26. Shipley J. 14. Ojo F. 15. Gordon L. 10. Tolaj L. 11. Curtis R.
1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 4. Houghton J. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 44. Patterson P. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
36. Faal M. 8. Garrity B. 46. Gauci J. (G) 3. Headley J. 4. Heneghan B. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 19. Waine B.
9. Ahadme G. 13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 20. Campbell C. 16. Freestone L. 17. Pattenden J. 8. Phillips D. 6. Sweeney D.
Coaches
Moore D.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Ojo F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', Shipley J. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
67', Curtis R. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
69', Houghton J. 🟨,
71', Patterson P. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
71', Houghton J. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
71', Roberts J. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
75', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
75', Clark M. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
82', Ojo F. ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Reid J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Reid J. ⚽,
90+2', Goode C. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Butler D. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
90+7', Reid J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stevenage is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Inactive)
Byers G.
(Red Card)
Garrity B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.77%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Marosi M. (G) 
Humphreys C. 
Clark M. 
Shipley J. 
Ojo F. 
Gordon L. 
Tolaj L. 
James-Wildin L. 
Patterson P. 
Reid J. 
Faal M. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Waine B. 
Ahadme G. 
Phillips D. 
Moore D. 
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