Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SPORTA Arena (Stevenage) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.40	3.40
	2.05	3.30	3.50
	1.93	3.50	3.85
	2.14	3.48	3.62
	2.08	3.38	3.48	Watch
	2.09	3.40	3.50
	2.06	3.42	3.42	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.55 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
45.9%

Draw
27.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 80%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Stevenage (2.05) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Setford T. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 10. Kemp D. 23. Thompson L. 8. Phillips D. 27. Broggio B. 28. Mellon M. 9. Magennis J.	23. Dennis W. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 5. Goode C. 32. Sanders J. 24. Wintle R. 17. Silvera S. 7. Crowley D. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 20. Campbell E. 9. Nombe S. 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
12. Barden D. (G) 20. Campbell C. 16. Casey K. 44. Patterson P. 18. Sanderson O. 7. Taylor T. 19. Turhan T.	4. Barlaser D. 15. Bramall C. 22. Fullah I. 2. Jones G. 13. Paterson C. 51. Stacey S. (G) 26. Wiles B.
Coaches
Revell A.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Gilbey A. 🟨,
9', Magennis J. 🟨,
25', Collins A. 🟨,
35', Piergianni C. 🟨,
44', Sanders J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', James-Wildin L. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
63', Broggio B. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Nombe S. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
82', Crowley D. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
82', Nombe S. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
84', Phillips D. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
85', Mellon M. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
90', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
90+4', Silvera S. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
90+4', Collins A. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 9th and 20th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.

Stevenage is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by MK Dons have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, MK Dons has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stevenage holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Stevenage: Pattenden J. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for MK Dons: Barnett R. (Injury) Hepburn-Murphy R. (Inactive) MacGillivray C. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Stevenage: Marcal W. (Inactive) Roberts J. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for MK Dons: Nelson C. (Inactive).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:25 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stevenage against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:17 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Stevenage	11	4	3	4	15:11	4	15
14	MK Dons	12	3	6	3	16:19	-3	15

Outrights of English League One for now

Stevenage: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.61%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
20.10.26	Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
17.10.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Stevenage Borough - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
20.10.26	Blackpool - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Reading	1:5 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Brentford U21	7:1 ✺
22.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ET
06.11.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Stevenage Borough	2:2
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3
03.09.19	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	0:3
English League Two
16.03.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Stevenage Borough	1:1
24.11.18	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2

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