Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.2
	3	3.2	2.35
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.22	3.31	2.31
	3.13	3.22	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	3.15	3.24	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.27)	2.3 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
30.3%

Draw
28.8%

Port Vale
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Gillingham - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 38. Dieng T. 8. Little A. 21. Williams E. 24. Wakeling J. 18. Wyllie M.	1. Ripley C. (G) 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. (C) 4. Heneghan B. 27. Cover B. 18. Croasdale R. 20. Sang T. 15. Grant C. 26. Richards R. 11. Curtis R. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 17. Clarke J. 6. Coleman E. 29. Gbode J. 1. Morris G. (G) 7. Nolan J. 10. Williams J.	13. Amos B. (G) 10. Chislett E. 32. Hackford A. 16. Lowe J. 17. Paton R. 23. Shorrock J. 19. Tolaj L.
Coaches
Bonner M.	Moore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Little A. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
40', Stockley J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Richards R. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
69', Stockley J. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
69', Curtis R. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
70', Wyllie M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
70', Williams E. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
72', Coleman E. 🟨,
74', Wakeling J. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
75', Dieng T. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Clarke J. ⚽, Masterson C. (A),
85', Debrah J. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
85', Grant C. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
86', Nolan J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0.

Gillingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Gillingham - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Swindon Town - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Gillingham - Newport County	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bradford City - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Port Vale
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Port Vale - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.17	Gillingham - Port Vale	1:1
17.09.16	Port Vale - Gillingham	2:1
16.04.16	Gillingham - Port Vale	0:2
15.08.15	Port Vale - Gillingham	1:1
03.01.15	Port Vale - Gillingham	2:1
29.11.14	Gillingham - Port Vale	2:2
01.02.14	Gillingham - Port Vale	3:2

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