Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Gillingham		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.30	3.25	2.15
	3.35	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.42	3.4	2.23
	3.11	3.37	2.22	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.13
	3.27	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)	2.17 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
28.2%

Draw
28.7%

Port Vale
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Gillingham - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 20. Daley J. 16. Brophy J. 6. Coleman E. 8. Little A. 3. McManus C. 22. Freeman N. 10. Hale R. 39. Eaves T.	20. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 4. Moon J. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 8. Garrity B. (C) 7. Byers G. 33. Hall G. 2. Kyle John 36. Watters M. 11. Hernandez O.
Substitutes
30. Booth S. 26. Dobbs L. 18. Kendall S. 40. Luthra R. (G) 27. Luxton M. 12. McCleary G. 24. Waldock H.	10. Dempsey K. 24. Figueroa K. 3. Headley J. 14. Lynch O. 22. Montsma L. 1. Smith J. (G) 38. Walters R.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Brady J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Hale R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hall G. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
46', Hernandez O. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
46', Watters M. ↓, Figueroa K. ↑,
56', Moon J. 🟨,
66', Kyle John ↓, Headley J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Figueroa K. ⚽,
70', Coleman E. ↓, Waldock H. ↑,
74', Hale R. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
79', McManus C. 🟨,
84', McManus C. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
84', Eaves T. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
85', Daley J. 🟨,
90', Garrity B. ↓, Walters R. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 21st).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Gillingham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Gillingham: Goodwin W. (Injury) Gordon L. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) King E. (Injury) Maclorg L. (Inactive) Obiero Z. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Port Vale: Craig M. (Injury) Simpson T. (Inactive).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:16 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gillingham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18:18	0	17
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6:12	-6	12

Outrights of English League Two for now

Port Vale: 4.89% Gillingham: 2.01%

Last Results with these Odds

Gillingham - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Port Vale - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
17.10.26	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.10.26	Gillingham - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	4:3 ✺
English League Two
10.10.26	Rotherham United - Gillingham	1:4 ✺
03.10.26	Gillingham - Newport County	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	York City - Gillingham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTL
- Port Vale
English League Two
17.10.26	Port Vale - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Port Vale - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Port Vale - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Chesterfield - Port Vale	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Walsall - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.05.25	Port Vale - Gillingham	0:1
09.11.24	Gillingham - Port Vale	1:0
English League One
11.02.17	Gillingham - Port Vale	1:1
17.09.16	Port Vale - Gillingham	2:1
16.04.16	Gillingham - Port Vale	0:2
15.08.15	Port Vale - Gillingham	1:1
03.01.15	Port Vale - Gillingham	2:1

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