Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Port Vale		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4	3.4	1.73
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.49	3.6	1.78
	4.49	3.61	1.77	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2
	4.09	3.63	1.82	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.36)	3.49 ↓ (3.63)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
22.7%

Draw
26.4%

Wrexham
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Port Vale - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Broome N. (G) 22. Debrah J. 4. Heneghan B. (C) 42. Hart S. 2. Clark M. 16. Lowe J. 38. Walters R. 23. Shorrock J. 26. Richards R. 32. Hackford A. 11. Curtis R.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. (C) 6. O'Connor T. 47. Longman R. 8. Cannon A. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 23. Revan S. 45. Ashfield H. 22. Faal M.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 18. Croasdale R. 45. Harper R. 24. Kyle John 20. Sang T. 6. Smith N. 19. Tolaj L.	29. Barnett R. 3. Brunt L. 15. Dobson G. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 19. Mendy J. 9. Palmer O. 28. Smith S.
Coaches
Moore D.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽,
11', Clark M. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
21', O'Connor T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Cannon A. ⚽, Faal M. (A),
45+2', Ashfield H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Ashfield H. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
55', Richards R. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
60', Ashfield H. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Lee E. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
72', Cannon A. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
72', Longman R. ↓, Mendy J. ↑,
79', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
79', Shorrock J. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Faal M. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
85', Cleworth M. ↓, Brunt L. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wrexham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
01.02.25	Port Vale - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Chesterfield - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Port Vale - Newport County	3:2 ✺
04.01.25	Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Port Vale - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWT
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
01.02.25	Crawley Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Wrexham - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties
07.11.23	Wrexham - Port Vale	2:1

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