Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Portimonense		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.2
	1.9	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.15	4.6
	1.88	3.38	4.92
	1.88	3.2	4.5
	1.9	3.35	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.21)	3.27 ↑ (3)	4.52 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
50.2%

Draw
28.9%

BSAD
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

31.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Portimonense - BSAD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Portimonense has the most likely position - 7 (10.81%), has project points - 44, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (17.96%), has project points - 32, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Portimonense is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
01.11.21	Braga - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Oliveirense - Portimonense	3:4 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
03.10.21	Benfica - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Portimonense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LLWWT
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
31.10.21	BSAD - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
25.10.21	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Berço - BSAD	1:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
03.10.21	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Paços de Ferreira - BSAD	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.05.21	BSAD - Portimonense	1:0
18.01.21	Portimonense - BSAD	1:0
26.01.20	BSAD - Portimonense	2:1
09.08.19	Portimonense - BSAD	0:0
16.03.19	BSAD - Portimonense	2:2
03.11.18	Portimonense - BSAD	1:1
05.05.18	BSAD - Portimonense	3:2

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