Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	BSAD		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.35	3.2	2.18	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.21
	3.72	3.26	2.21
	3.25	3	2.35
	3.56	3.22	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.57)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	2.2 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
27.1%

Draw
29.9%

Santa Clara
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

21%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BSAD's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	21.2%	54.5%

BSAD - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (26.12%), has project points - 30, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Liga Portugal
25.10.21	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Berço - BSAD	1:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
03.10.21	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Paços de Ferreira - BSAD	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	BSAD - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTT
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese League Cup
26.10.21	Santa Clara - Porto	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
23.10.21	Santa Clara - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.10.21	Vizela - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Santa Clara - Braga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.05.21	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:2
01.02.21	Santa Clara - BSAD	2:0
08.02.20	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:2
25.08.19	Santa Clara - BSAD	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.19	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:1
Liga Portugal
06.04.19	BSAD - Santa Clara	1:1
30.11.18	Santa Clara - BSAD	2:3

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