Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Benfica		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.5	19	Watch
	1.12	9.25	18.5	Watch
	1.11	9	21	Watch
	1.12	9.4	20
	1.11	11.08	23.63
	1.07	8.5	23	Watch
	1.12	9.3	21	Watch
	1.13	8.6	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↑ (1.11)	9.2 ↑ (8.89)	20.52 ↑ (19.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
85.1%

Draw
10.3%

Portimonense
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.7%

10.6%

4.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7.4%	7.4%

Benfica - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 71.8% – 98.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 4. Antonio Silva 30. Otamendi N. (C) 8. Aursnes F. 10. Kokcu O. 87. Neves J. 7. David Neres 20. Joao Mario 11. Di Maria A. 27. Rafa Silva	32. Nakamura K. (G) 43. Tornich 44. Pedrao (C) 22. Relvas F. 27. Guga 11. Carlinhos 13. Dener 18. Costa G. 77. Varela H. 10. Pereira H. 7. Jasper S.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 9. Cabral A. 3. Carreras A. 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 36. Marcos Leonardo 5. Morato 32. Rollheiser B. 24. Soares S. (G)	76. Alcobia R. 8. Fukui T. 33. Igor Formiga 28. Luan 70. Martins R. 9. Monteiro T. 5. Mvoue S. 14. Seck M. 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)
Coaches
Schmidt R.	Paulo Sergio

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 4.

Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portimonense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portimonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bernat J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Portimonense: Lucas Ventura (Yellow Cards) Monteiro T. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Benfica won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Toulouse - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Benfica - Vizela	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Benfica - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTW
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
17.02.24	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Boavista - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Portimonense - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.09.23	Portimonense - Benfica	1:3
13.05.23	Portimonense - Benfica	1:5
06.01.23	Benfica - Portimonense	1:0
05.03.22	Portimonense - Benfica	1:2
03.10.21	Benfica - Portimonense	0:1
22.04.21	Portimonense - Benfica	1:5
29.12.20	Benfica - Portimonense	2:1

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