Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 4

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Portimonense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.75	Watch
				Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.65
	2.58	3.31	2.97
	2.3	3	2.8	Watch
	2.56	3.34	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.53)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portimonense
37.3%

Draw
29.1%

Estrela da Amadora
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Nakamura K. (G) 33. Igor Formiga 43. Alemao 22. Relvas F. 18. Costa G. 11. Carlinhos (C) 13. Dener 8. Mauricio 77. Varela H. 19. Carrillo R. 28. Luan Campos	30. Bruno (G) 2. Omurwa J. 13. Lopes M. 4. Gaspar K. (C) 27. Hevertton S. 6. Aloisio 22. Leo Cordeiro 25. Shinga K. 8. Leo Jaba 9. Tavares R. 90. Ronald
Substitutes
20. Estrela P. 7. Jasper S. 25. Lucas Ventura 27. Oliveira G. M. 9. Paulinho 44. Pedrao 37. Rildo 14. Seck M. 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	1. Antonio Filipe (G) 12. Jean Felipe 23. Keliano M. 29. Kikas 7. Ndo R. 61. Ndour A. 14. Santos Junior E. A. 21. Sa P. 18. Vito
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Vieira S.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Estrela: Joao Reis (Injury) Mansur (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
26.08.23	Arouca - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Portimonense - Boavista	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Gil Vicente - Portimonense	5:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leixões - Portimonense	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLL?
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
25.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.07.23	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
23.07.23	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	3:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1

Upcoming Matches