Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Benfica TV
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Benfica		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.5	13	Watch
	1.14	7.9	14.5	Watch
	1.18	8.28	17.45
	1.16	7.88	16.98	Watch
	1.15	7.5	15
	1.15	8.85	20	Watch
	1.16	6.66	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	7.8 ↑ (6.43)	16.28 ↓ (16.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
82%

Draw
12.2%

Estrela da Amadora
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.6%

14.7%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Benfica - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Estrela (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Estrela (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 58. Banjaqui D. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 4. Silva A. 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 5. Barrenechea E. 25. Prestianni G. 10. Sudakov G. 15. Lopes Cabral S. 14. Pavlidis V.	40. Ribeiro R. (G) 17. Encada J. 14. Bernardo Schappo 30. Luan Patrick 83. Otavio 28. Moustier T. 6. Jansson K. 19. Moreira P. (C) 18. Meireles J. 7. Antonetti L. 10. Stoica I.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 18. Barreiro L. 72. Cabral A. 17. Dedic A. 9. Ivanovic F. 86. Prioste D. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 51. Voitinovicius A. (G)	80. Alisson Souza 39. Doue G. 27. Fuhrer P. 89. Gastao J. 3. Ni 1. Pinto D. (G) 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho 63. Sola A.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Silva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Jansson K. 🟨,
33', Stoica I. 🟨,
37', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Lopes Cabral S. (A),
45', Aursnes F. 🟨,
45', Silva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
53', Encada J. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Moustier T. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Lopes Cabral S. ⚽,
60', Prestianni G. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
65', Jansson K. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
73', Sudakov G. ↓, Prioste D. ↑,
73', Aursnes F. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
75', Stoica I. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
75', Antonetti L. ↓, Robinho ↑,
75', Meireles J. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
76', Moreira P. 🟨,
83', Pavlidis V. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Cabral A. ⚽, Banjaqui D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Rafa Silva (Inactive) Rios R. (Injury) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Injury)

There will not play in Estrela: Marcus A. (Red Card) Ni (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 3.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
9	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.01.26	Rio Ave - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
07.01.26	Benfica - Braga	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.01.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
19.01.26	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
03.01.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	3:3 ✺
27.12.25	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
15.12.25	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.08.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:1
02.02.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	7:0
Liga Portugal
24.08.24	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	1:0
29.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	1:4
19.08.23	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
20.11.22	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3

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