Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	CBS Sports Network, CBS, ion TV, NWSL+, Tubi TV


	Portland Thorns		Utah Royals

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.25	3	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.34
	2.21	3.14	3.35	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.2	3.55	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.41)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.16 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Thorns
42.7%

Draw
28.2%

Utah Royals
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Thorns's performance.

Utah Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Portland Thorns - Utah Royals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 5. Obaze I. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. 6. Bogere C. 23. Muller M. 13. Moultrie O. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.	1. McGlynn M. (G) 22. Moriya M. 8. Del Fava K. (C) 18. Riehl K. 14. Rabano N. 17. Tejada Jimenez A. 10. Miura N. 5. Delzer C. 11. Tanaka M. 24. Lacasse C. 21. Palacios K.
Substitutes
26. Alidou d'Anjou M. 4. Calzada C. 15. Harvey S. 40. Immethun J. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 24. Perry J. 66. Turner R.	16. Brown C. 23. Justus M. (G) 2. Milazzo T. 13. Mozingo B. 20. Nagai A. 15. Pierre-Louis D. 9. Prasnikar L. 6. Simmonds K. N. 30. Spaanstra A.
Coaches
Vilahamn R.	Coenraets J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Moultrie O. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Palacios K. ⚽, Rabano N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Tanaka M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Lacasse C. ⚽, Tanaka M. (A),
52', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
61', Bogere C. 🟨,
61', Moultrie O. ↓, Turner R. ↑,
62', Bogere C. ↓, Immethun J. ↑,
64', Delzer C. ↓, Spaanstra A. ↑,
64', Tejada Jimenez A. ↓, Pierre-Louis D. ↑,
64', Moriya M. ↓, Milazzo T. ↑,
68', Pierre-Louis D. 🟨,
82', Palacios K. ↓, Prasnikar L. ↑,
85', Muller M. ↓, Harvey S. ↑,
85', Hiatt S. ↓, Perry J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Wilson S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Lacasse C. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.

Portland Thorns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utah is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Utah Royals W	27	14	4	9	44:35	9	46
7	Portland Thorns W	27	12	7	8	45:39	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Thorns
NWSL
24.05.26	Kansas City Current - Portland Thorns	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Portland Thorns - Bay FC	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Portland Thorns - Angel City	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLW
- Utah Royals
NWSL
23.05.26	Utah Royals - Denver Summit	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Bay FC - Utah Royals	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Utah Royals - Houston Dash	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Angel City - Utah Royals	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
29.08.25	Portland Thorns - Utah Royals	1:2
11.04.25	Utah Royals - Portland Thorns	0:1
05.10.24	Portland Thorns - Utah Royals	1:2
NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
27.07.24	Utah Royals - Portland Thorns	3:1
NWSL
29.06.24	Utah Royals - Portland Thorns	0:0
03.10.20	Utah Royals - Portland Thorns	1:1
20.09.20	Portland Thorns - Utah Royals	3:0

Portland Thorns - Utah Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide