Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC


	Portland Timbers		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.5
	2.68	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.72	3.5	2.69
	2.66	3.43	2.52	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.5
	2.71	3.41	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.5)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
35.5%

Draw
28%

Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Crepeau M. (G) 29. Mosquera J. 20. Surman F. 4. Miller K. (C) 27. Fory J. 80. Ortiz J. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 24. Ayala D. 11. Antony 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A.	18. Celentano R. (G) 21. Miazga M. 12. Robinson M. 4. Hagglund N. 91. Yedlin D. 20. Bucha P. 37. Jimenez S. 10. Evander 29. Engel L. 66. Echenique E. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 88. Guerra G. 15. Miller E. 9. Mora F. 41. Pantemis J. (G) 17. Paredes C. 23. Smith I. 13. Zuparic D.	19. Chirila S. 3. Flores G. 16. Hadebe T. 85. Kamara K. 13. Louro E. (G) 35. Mboma K. 2. Powell A. 14. Smith B. 22. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Neville P.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
36', 0 - 3, Evander ⚽, Miazga M. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A),
45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ortiz J. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
59', Echenique E. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
59', Denkey K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
60', Paredes C. 🟨,
68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
78', Robinson M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
83', Lassiter A. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
83', Miller K. ↓, Zuparic D. ↑,
85', Ayala D. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
90+1', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
90+1', Jimenez S. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
09.08.25	FC Dallas - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Club América - Portland Timbers	2:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Portland Timbers - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Portland Timbers - Atlético San Luis	4:0 ✺
MLS
25.07.25	Los Angeles - Portland Timbers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
10.08.25	Cincinnati - Charlotte	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.25	Cincinnati - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Cincinnati - Juárez	2:3 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Monterrey - Cincinnati	2:3 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Inter Miami - Cincinnati	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.04.23	Cincinnati - Portland Timbers	2:1
28.07.20	Portland Timbers - Cincinnati	2:1 penalties
17.03.19	Cincinnati - Portland Timbers	3:0

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