Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)


	Portland Timbers		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.5
	1.95	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.88	3.8
	1.96	3.88	3.75
	1.91	3.75	3.6
	1.96	3.78	3.63	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.18)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	3.63 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
48.8%

Draw
25%

Philadelphia Union
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Portland Timbers - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 29. Mosquera J. 13. Zuparic D. 18. McGraw Z. 15. Miller E. 19. Williamson E. 21. Chara D. (C) 30. Moreno S. 10. Evander 11. Antony 14. Rodriguez J.	1. Semmle O. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 5. Glesnes J. 3. Elliott J. 27. Wagner K. 11. Bedoya A. (C) 33. Sullivan Q. 14. Rafanello J. 9. Carranza J. 35. Adeniyi M. 7. Uhre M.
Substitutes
27. Asprilla D. 24. Ayala D. 33. Mabiala L. 9. Mora F. 99. Nathan Fogaca 22. Paredes C. 26. Sulte H. (G)	25. Donovan C. 29. Makhanya O. 22. Ngabo S. 2. Real M. 76. Rick A. (G)
Coaches
Neville P.	Curtin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Chara D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Carranza J. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
32', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
40', Elliott J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Sullivan Q. ⚽, Rafanello J. (A),
65', Chara D. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
65', Miller E. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Carranza J. ⚽, Uhre M. (A),
75', Mosquera J. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
75', Williamson E. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Moreno S. (A),
84', Adeniyi M. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
88', Semmle O. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Antony ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 3.

Recent matches Philadelphia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Philadelphia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Portland will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Portland: Bravo C. (Injury) Loria M. (Injury) Mora F. (Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Flach L. (Injury) LeFlore I. (Injury) Trent H. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Portland won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
16.03.24	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	New York City - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Portland Timbers - DC United	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
16.03.24	Austin FC - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.24	Pachuca - Philadelphia Union	6:0 ✺
05.03.24	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
MLS
02.03.24	Sporting Kansas City - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
27.02.24	Philadelphia Union - Deportivo Saprissa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.05.22	Portland Timbers - Philadelphia Union	0:2
30.05.21	Philadelphia Union - Portland Timbers	3:0
05.08.20	Philadelphia Union - Portland Timbers	1:2
25.05.19	Philadelphia Union - Portland Timbers	1:3
04.08.18	Portland Timbers - Philadelphia Union	3:0
08.04.17	Philadelphia Union - Portland Timbers	1:3
17.09.16	Portland Timbers - Philadelphia Union	2:1

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