The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 34%
Draw 26.3%
St. Louis City 2 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.6%
25.6%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
25%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)
Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (C) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 53. Ferguson C. 90. Kissel M. 46. Enriquez V. 63. Nunez D. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 39. Griffith C. 88. Guerra G.
31. Olivares C. (C) 66. Lillington Z. 41. Pearson C. 3. Reid-Brown T. 33. Pearce T. 44. Wagoner J. 26. Forcellini C. 62. Barclay J. 91. Zengue Z. 80. McSorley B. 42. Ault P.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 37. Santos N. 57. VanVoorhis B. 48. Zendejas N.
79. Chavez E. 63. Clancy T. 83. Cornelius L. 57. Jorgensen O. 48. Lynch R. 50. Martinez N. (G) 88. McDonald P. 43. Paris S. 49. Pickering N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Pearson C. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Kissel M. ⚽,
17', Zengue Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Nunez D. ↓, VanVoorhis B. ↑,
61', Joseph S. 🟨,
66', Griffith C. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
67', Barclay J. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
67', Zengue Z. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
67', Reid-Brown T. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Santos N. ⚽,
76', Wagoner J. ↓, Paris S. ↑,
81', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Jorgensen O. ↑,
81', Pearce T. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
85', Kissel M. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
86', Jura S. 🟨,
90+3', Enriquez V. 🟥,
90+3', McSorley B. 🟥,
90+3', Guerra G. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
Portland 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
St. Louis City 2 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Portland 2 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:22 (averaging 1.9:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portland 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).