Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Porto		Juventus

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.95
	4.25	3.3	1.95
	4.3	3.35	2.02
	4.1	3.25	2.01
	4.34	3.3	2.04
	4.2	3.2	2
	4.35	3.3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (4.17)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	2 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
22.6%

Draw
29.3%

Juventus
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

29.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.3%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	6.9%	85.5%

Porto - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (235 of 275 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.28% – 89.62%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Porto was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Juventus was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (73%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
13.02.21	Porto - Boavista	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.02.21	Braga - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.02.21	Braga - Porto	2:2 ✺
04.02.21	BSAD - Porto	0:0 ✺
01.02.21	Porto - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
13.02.21	Napoli - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.02.21	Juventus - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.02.21	Juventus - Roma	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.02.21	Inter Milan - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.01.21	Sampdoria - Juventus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
14.03.17	Juventus - Porto	1:0
22.02.17	Porto - Juventus	0:2

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