Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Porto		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.11	8.5	23	Watch
	1.12	9.25	21
	1.11	9	17
	1.11	8.4	22
	1.12	10.02	25.45
	1.1	8	26	Watch
	1.11	8.9	21	Watch
	1.11	9.4	24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.13)	8.93 ↑ (7.49)	22.43 ↑ (20.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
85.2%

Draw
10.6%

Paços de Ferreira
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83%

12.5%

4.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7.4%	7.4%

Porto - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 71.8% – 98.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Porto has the most likely position - 2 (53.52%), has project points - 76, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (93%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (56.85%), has project points - 23, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 52, importance 43, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 4.

Porto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paços de Ferreira has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Pepe (Knee Injury) Zaidu (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Ferigra E. (Injury) Holsgrove J. (Injury) Ibrahim A. (Injury) Luiz C. (Injury) Vekic I. (Injury) Vigario J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Gabriel Veron (Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Porto won 16 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 45-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
UEFA Champions League
01.11.22	Porto - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.10.22	Santa Clara - Porto	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.10.22	Club Brugge - Porto	0:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
21.10.22	Porto - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Anadia - Porto	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLW
- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
28.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Famalicão - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.03.22	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	2:4
02.10.21	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
14.03.21	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.20	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Liga Portugal
30.10.20	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	3:2
29.06.20	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	0:1
02.12.19	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:0

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