Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Porto B		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3.05	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.17	3.36	2.38
	3.1	3.1	2.35
	3.05	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)	2.32 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
30.2%

Draw
29.7%

Estoril Praia
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.4%	10.3%	48.3%

Porto B - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Estoril will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga).

Recent matches Porto B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estoril is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estoril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
10.04.21	Académica Coimbra - Porto B	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Porto B - Arouca	0:3 ✺
29.03.21	Mafra - Porto B	0:4 ✺
21.03.21	Porto B - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Chaves - Porto B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWT
- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
11.04.21	Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense	3:1 ✺
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
26.03.21	Estoril Praia - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
20.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Estoril Praia	2:3 ✺
14.03.21	Estoril Praia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.12.20	Estoril Praia - Porto B	1:1
22.02.20	Porto B - Estoril Praia	1:1
14.09.19	Estoril Praia - Porto B	2:1
19.01.19	Porto B - Estoril Praia	2:0
11.08.18	Estoril Praia - Porto B	4:0

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