Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Porto B		Arouca

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.9
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.35	2.9	3.05
	2.36	3	3.05
	2.52	3.05	3.24
	2.45	3	3
	2.39	3.18	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
38.5%

Draw
30.7%

Arouca
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Arouca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arouca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porto B - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

Porto B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Arouca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Porto B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.03.21	Mafra - Porto B	0:4 ✺
21.03.21	Porto B - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Chaves - Porto B	1:1 ✺
08.03.21	Porto B - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Vilafranquense - Porto B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTTT
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
27.03.21	Arouca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vizela - Arouca	1:1 ✺
15.03.21	Arouca - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
08.03.21	Benfica B - Arouca	3:1 ✺
27.02.21	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.11.20	Arouca - Porto B	2:3
24.02.19	Arouca - Porto B	1:0
07.10.18	Porto B - Arouca	0:1
21.01.18	Porto B - Arouca	1:1
13.08.17	Arouca - Porto B	2:2
07.04.13	Porto B - Arouca	2:0
11.11.12	Arouca - Porto B	0:0

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