Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Porto Vitória		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.65	3.2
	2.35	2.72	3.15
	2.4	2.63	3.24
	2.23	2.98	3.37	Watch
	2.36	2.65	3.36
	2.18	3.13	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	2.79 ↓ (3.25)	3.24 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Vitória
39.4%

Draw
32.5%

Pouso Alegre
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Porto Vitória - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Thallyson ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pouso Alegre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Porto Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto Vitória won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
15.07.25	Porto Vitória - Serra	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
08.07.25	Serra - Porto Vitória	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Água Santa - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Portuguesa - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Pouso Alegre - Boavista	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Maricá	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Pouso Alegre - Porto Vitória	1:1

Porto Vitória - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide