Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Portugalete		Basconia

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.26	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	3.26 (3.26)	2.83 (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
37.7%

Draw
28.9%

Basconia
33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Portugalete have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Basconia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Portugalete - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Zorrilla G. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugalete won 1.

Portugalete is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Basconia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Portugalete have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Portugalete won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Portugalete won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.05.24	Portugalete - Deusto	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Portugalete - Durango	5:1 ✺
13.04.24	Portugalete - Vitoria	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Pasaia - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Portugalete - Padura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.04.24	Alavés C - Basconia	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Basconia - Deusto	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Leioa - Basconia	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Basconia - Durango	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Lagun Onak - Basconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	Basconia - Portugalete	2:4
16.09.23	Portugalete - Basconia	0:0
25.03.23	Basconia - Portugalete	3:1
27.11.22	Portugalete - Basconia	2:3
23.04.22	Portugalete - Basconia	0:0
12.12.21	Basconia - Portugalete	0:1
26.01.20	Portugalete - Basconia	0:2

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